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  • šŸ„› Ethereumā€™s civil war šŸ’„

šŸ„› Ethereumā€™s civil war šŸ’„

PLUS: Are we going to peak in Q4? This chart suggests we are šŸ“Š

Todayā€™s edition is brought to you by crypto index Jā€™JO35 - an investment platform focused entirely on index investing. 

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GM. This is Milk Road, the newsletter that has your back in the fist fight that is crypto.

Hereā€™s what we got for you today:

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THEREā€™S A REVOLT BREWING WITHIN ETHEREUM šŸ¤›

People donā€™t want a quarter inch drill bit, they want a quarter inch hole in their drywall.

But more than that quarter inch hole, they want to install a bookshelf on their wall.

More than that, they want the books they display to tell visitors how smart they are.

The current battle going on within Ethereum follows a similar rabbit hole of layered ā€˜wantsā€™ ā€“ and once you get to the bottom of it, youā€™ll think to yourself:  

ā€œHa! Kind of a dumb thing to be fighting about, all things considered.ā€

Hereā€™s whatā€™s going down on the surface:

Right now, a few factions within Ethereum are having a pretty public fight on Crypto Twitter ā€“ the basic gist of which is thisā€¦

Side A: wants Ethereum to focus on heavily increasing its transaction speeds, and for the Ethereum Foundation (EF) to have a ā€˜wartime leaderā€™ installed (someone thatā€™s going to kick down walls and put fires under everyoneā€™s butts). E.g. šŸ‘‡

Side B: wants to keep Ethereumā€™s roadmap in its current state and for the Ethereum Foundation to continue building using the same slow nā€™ steady approach/ethos. E.g. šŸ‘‡

Alright, thatā€™s each sideā€™s ā€˜quarter inch drill bitā€™.

From here on out, weā€™ll be focusing on Side Aā€™s desires, ā€˜cause theyā€™re the upstarts bringing the fight for change.

And if you dig down into what they want more than faster transactions and an EF leadership reorg ā€“ their ā€˜quarter inch hole in the dry wallā€™ is:

A hyper-present, charismatic leader/cult of personality that they can rally behind. 

You know the typeā€¦ 

Someone thatā€™s trawling through X/Twitter comments, counteracting FUD, shitposting here and there ā€“ but more than anything: getting the broader community excited about the L1.

(Kinda like what Anatoly/Mert do for Solana šŸ‘‡).

ā€¦but Side Aā€™s deepest desires? (Their ā€˜shelf full of books that make them look smartā€™?).

This one is so simple that itā€™s going to feel anti-climatic at firstā€¦

They just want $ETHā€™s price to pick back up.

At its core, thatā€™s what seems to be driving all of this: 

$ETHā€™s price has been flat ā†’ they want that to change ā†’ so theyā€™re trying to shake things up with shifts in leadership and roadmap. 

Our bet is: the moment $ETH enters price discovery, the vast majority of this anger/worry will be quickly dispelled, as the collective thinking switches back to: if it ainā€™t broke, donā€™t fix it.

Say it with us now: 

ā€œHa! Kind of a dumb thing to be fighting about, all things considered.ā€

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COTD: ARE WE GOING TO PEAK IN Q4? THIS CHART SUGGESTS WE ARE šŸ“Š

We donā€™t have any scientific evidence to back this up, butā€¦

We believe microwave minutes are longer than normal minutes.

We donā€™t know how it works exactly, but hunger and anticipation somehow join forces to make each microwave minute feel like an hour.

The same thing happens in the lead-up to the first new all-time high of a bull run. 

Hunger and anticipation for new price discovery leads us all to check the patterns from previous cycles and compare them to where weā€™re at in the present day.

ā€¦but once new all-time highs are broken, we all kinda forget about those same charts.

But the Milk Man? The Milk Man doesnā€™t forget. And we think itā€™s high time to check in again.

The black line below is $BTCā€™s price in the current cycle, while everything else is from previous cycles:

See how weā€™re most closely correlated with the 2015-2018 cycle in blue? 

If that correlation holds up, it should mean two things:

  1. While $BTC isnā€™t likely to pull the same returns as the 2015-2018 cycle, weā€™re still far from done yet.

  2. Weā€™ll likely see a market peak in Q4 of this year.

Now, see how there are dips and troughs throughout every single one of these cycles?

Take those troughs as an added reminder not to psych yourself out every time we see a pullback between now and Q4 (remember, these things take time and are never smooth).

Got it? Good. 

(Oh, and if you want weekly updates on where we are in the current cycle, so you can time your buying and selling with better accuracy ā€“ this year, and beyond šŸ‘‰ weā€™ve got just the thing).

Alright, Milk Man out!

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MILK ROAD PRO PORTFOLIO UPDATES šŸ“Š

The president launched a memecoin, Bitcoin hit new all-time highs, we have a new SEC chairā€¦

It has been a wild couple of days in crypto! Which means itā€™s high time we check and see how our portfolio is faring.

ICYMI: Like clock-work, every Tuesday, we share our updated list of investments from the Milk Road PRO Portfolio. 

Disclosure: We are not a day trading portfolio so donā€™t expect a high volume of trades. Read our ā€œhow to build a crypto portfolio in 2024ā€ report to learn more about our portfolio strategy.

Portfolio performance šŸ“ˆ 

The Milk Road PRO Portfolio saw a moderate increase over the past 7 days. Our portfolio value is at $131.2K, up 12.68% since last week.

Portfolio prices are updated daily at 2:00 AM ET.

The markets are on fire right now, and just like we said in our last update, the "sell the news" scenario didnā€™t happen. Even with Trump staying completely silent about crypto, things are still looking strong.

But hereā€™s the jaw-dropper: over the weekend, Trump made waves by launching his own memecoin, $TRUMP. It hit an insane $70 billion market cap at its peak!

Crazy, right? Weā€™re still processing how wild this is!

Now, we just need to give him a little time to catch his breath before we start seeing any real impact or potential new crypto legislation. No pressure, Donaldā€”but letā€™s not keep us waiting too long! šŸ¤£

Portfolio changes šŸ‘€

The Milk Road PRO Portfolio is available for Milk Road PRO members only.

GO PRO AND UNLOCK:

  • Full access to the Milk Road PRO Portfolio, our yield strategies & weekly updates to see what weā€™re actively investing in šŸ‘†

  • Weekly ā€œWhere Are We In The Cycle?ā€ indicators to help you spot the bull market top before itā€™s too late šŸ“ˆ

  • Weekly research reports that will help you invest successfully in crypto šŸ’°

  • Access to the PRO Community, where the Milk Road crew & 1000s of fellow PROs talk crypto šŸ«‚

  • 50% OFF the Crypto Investing Masterclass šŸ“šļø 

PRO REVIEW OF THE WEEK

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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD šŸŖ

CoinStats just upgraded its P&L calculation. You can now check your profit and loss (P&L) for your entire portfolio ā€” both CeFi and DeFi. CoinStats keeps leveling up and honestly, we love them for it.*

Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is now official. The best part? The website has a huge dogecoin on it. So insane.

Rex Shares has filed for a $DOGE and $TRUMP ETF. $TRUMP getting an ETF proposal just 4 days after its launch is wild. Bold move by Rex.

World Liberty Financial goes on a buying spree. Theyā€™ve bought $47M of $ETH and $wBTC each. Reason? To celebrate Trump coming into office. Todayā€™s cookies are giving me such top cycle vibes.

Weā€™re hiring! We currently have 4 open positions - so hurry before someone else beats you to it.

Weā€™ve launched a guide for top credit debit and credit cards. With so many options out there, weā€™ve broken it down and picked the best card for every type of user.

*This is sponsored content.

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MILKY MEMES šŸ¤£

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.