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šŸ„› A peek into $10M+ wallets šŸ‘€

PLUS: 3 things in 2023 we didn't predict...

Todayā€™s edition is brought to you by Flow Blockchain - the fast and decentralized blockchain with a BIG hackathon coming up.

P.S. Thereā€™s $500K, a PS5, and more on the line! šŸŽ

GM. This is Milk Road - we hit harder than a stiff one at 5 PM on a Friday.

Hereā€™s what weā€™re serving up today:

  • A peek into $10M+ wallets šŸ³

  • 2023 temp check šŸ”®

  • Unmoved BTC hits ATH šŸ“ˆ

  • 1st leveraged BTC ETF sees 500K shares traded šŸŖ

Prices as of 8:40 AM ET.

WHALE WATCHING: A PEEK INTO $10M+ WALLETS šŸ³

We have one motto hereā€¦ Keep It Simpleā„¢.

Thatā€™s why we keep the pizza hot, the milk cold, and the crypto trades basic.

But every once in a while, we wanna get the adrenaline pumping. Thatā€™s when we look to make a crypto bet.

Sometimes itā€™s a degen bet. (i.e. high-risk, high-reward bet. WARNING: not for the faint of heart.)

Other times, itā€™s an educated gamble.

But before making any bet, we always do one thing: whale watch. (i.e. see what other crypto whales are investing in)

So we sent the Milk Man out to do some research. There was only one requirementā€¦ the whales needed to have $10M+ in their wallet. BDE (big dollar energy) only.

Letā€™s dive inā€¦

In total, we looked at 6 whale wallets that held a combined $180M.

Hereā€™s a quick peek at the 3 most interesting ones:

1/ EverydayWhale ($21.5M in assets)

This wallet is doing 3 big thingsā€¦

  • Lending tokens out on Maker (a DeFi platform). In total, the whale has lent out $15M+ worth of stETH and is getting a small % interest on it.

  • Providing liquidity to decentralized exchanges like Uniswap. The whale put ~$7M into Uniswap v3ā€™s liquidity pool. In return, the whale gets a small slice of each trade.

  • NFT loans on platforms like NFTfi and Blur. Theyā€™ve supplied $1M+ in NFT loans (i.e. the whale supplies ETH and in return, they get an NFT as collateral.)

This whale is all about yield farming and getting those juicy returns.

2/ Ethereum ($19.3M in assets)

This was the most diverse wallet we saw. It was also the only one that had its assets spread across 4+ blockchains.

  • 57% of assets are on Ethereum (ironically it had the least % allocated to Ethereum out of all the wallets we looked at, even though the name of the wallet is Ethereum)

  • 31% of assets are on Arbitrum

  • 4% of assets are on Avalanche

  • 4% of assets are on BNB Chain

  • 3% of assets are on Optimism

But no matter the chain, this whale is doing the same on them allā€¦ yield farming.

Theyā€™re either staking, lending, or providing liquidity on a ton of different protocols. Check it out.

Source: DeBank

3/ No name wallet ($58.9M in assets)

This wallet didnā€™t have a ā€œnameā€ so weā€™re calling it Vin Diesel.

Why? Because this mfer is Fast & Furious when it comes to crypto trading.

They make a lot of trades and invest in a sh*tton of tokens. (60+ tokens in the wallet)

They also try to stay ā€œliquidā€ and donā€™t lock up their tokens. (i.e. they donā€™t stake, lend, etc.)

Here are some of the biggest holdings:

  • $10.3M in ETH

  • $8.4M in SHIB

  • $2.6M in VRA

  • $1.4M in SAND

  • $1.2M in FTM

This wallet is by far the riskiest one weā€™ve come across and is now in the lead for Degen Whale of the Year.

Milk Road Take: If thereā€™s one big takeaway from all this, itā€™s thatā€¦ it might be time for the Milk Man to start taking a more serious look at yield farming.

5 of the 6 wallets were all heavily active in staking, providing liquidity, and lending out tokens.

Source: Tenor

(btw, R.I.P to a legend ^^^)

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HOW MANY 2023 PREDICTIONS HAVE WE GOTTEN RIGHT SO FAR? šŸ”®

At the beginning of the year, we made 4 big predictions.

  • Itā€™ll be another year without crypto legislation

  • Ethereumā€™s Shanghai upgrade would be delayed again

  • ETH and BTC would drop another 50%

  • The first mainstream Web3 application will be a Web3 video game

6 months in, our predictions arenā€™t lookinā€™ too good - weā€™re 1 for 4.

(Turns out the Milk Man shouldnā€™t quit his day job to become a fortune teller.)

Letā€™s dive inā€¦

Prediction 1: Itā€™ll be another year without crypto legislation

The result: Correct.

All weā€™ve seen is more regulation by enforcement, lawsuits against Coinbase & Binance, crypto players leaving the U.S., and more evil S-word (securities) labels.

Weā€™re about as close to having regulatory clarity as the Milk Man is to going lactose intolerant. But there are still some bills working their way through Congress, so fingers crossed.

Now for all our missesā€¦

Source: Tenor

Prediction 2: Ethereumā€™s Shanghai upgrade would get delayed (again)

The result: Wrong.

The Shanghai (or Shapella) upgrade happened on April 12 and went as smoothly as a babyā€™s bottom. Folks were scared that people would unstake their ETH and sell it, pushing the price down.

But staking is actually up, big time. And so is ETHā€™s price.

Which brings us toā€¦

Prediction 3: ETH & BTC would drop another 50% in price

The result: Wrong. So, so wrong.

  • Bitcoin is up almost 100%.

  • ETH is up ~50%.

Prediction 4: The first mainstream Web3 application will be a Web3 video game

The result: To be determined.

But giants like Sega, Animoca Brands & Unisoft are making strides. The latter just released its second blockchain game. šŸ‘€

So thereā€™s still plenty of time this year for Web3 gamingā€™s time in the sun.

As for the rest of 2023ā€¦ we caught up with some MILK ROAD FRIENDS to give us their predictions:

0xDesigner (Crypto Twitter staple) predicts consumer applications will be ā€œpowered by crypto, that you wonā€™t know they are crypto.ā€

They think these consumer apps will be centered around music, gaming, and niche social platforms.

Stephan Livera (big-time Bitcoin podcaster) has 3 big predictionsā€¦

1. More government regulatory actions coming on altcoins

2. No US Bitcoin spot ETF this year (bold one, Stephan)

3. Increasing rationalisation towards Bitcoin in the space, and refocused understanding on holding your own Bitcoin private keys

Guess weā€™ll have to wait and see.

VISUAL OF THE DAY: BITCOIN UNMOVED SUPPLY HIT ATH šŸ“ˆ

ARK Invest

Bitcoin just broke a new recordā€¦  

~70% of Bitcoinā€™s entire circulating supply hasnā€™t moved in over a year.

So what does that mean? Bitcoin investors are HODLing.

All this Bitcoin ETF talk has made BTC holders (including its OG investors) hopeful.

Institutional interest in the crypto space is like that one kid wearing silly bandz to school in the 4th grade:

It makes everyone wanna follow suit.

MILK & COOKIES šŸŖ

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MILKY MEMES šŸ¤£

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.

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