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- 🥛 How to predict price w/ options markets 🔮
🥛 How to predict price w/ options markets 🔮
PLUS: Which altcoins will get ETFs in 2025? 🤔
Today’s edition is brought to you by Meanwhile - discover how their BTC Whole Life insurance policy can help you grow, leverage and pass on your Bitcoin stack.
GM. This is Milk Road, we take complex topics and translate them into simple terms.
(We’re like the Rosetta Stone of crypto).
Here’s what we got for you today:
✍️ Options market = price predictions?
✍️ Which altcoins will get ETFs in 2025?
🎙️ The Milk Road Show: 10 Most Bullish Predictions for 2025 w/ Lark Davis
🍪 Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF is the fastest-growing in history
OPTIONS MARKET = PRICE PREDICTIONS? đź”®
This story was pitched by one of our NOPs (Nerds On Payroll…aka: PRO researchers).
They actually pitch stories all the time….but here’s how we tend to react:
(It flies way over our heads).
That said, this was one of the first topics that we didn’t feel completely lost explaining:
How to use the options market to predict crypto prices.
But before we get into the juicy details, here’s a quick crash course on the options market (and no, this isn’t optional):
Calls: A bet that the market will rise above a certain price (bullish)
Puts: A bet that the market will drop below a certain price (bearish)
To really hammer this concept home, here’s an example:
Back in September, there was a large concentration of $100K Bitcoin calls (bullish) expiring on Dec 27th, 2024.
Translation? Option traders were betting that the Bitcoin price will go past $100k by the end of 2024.
And guess what? It did.
Now again, this method is not foolproof – but gives us a general idea of where the market is moving.
So, let’s go and see what the options market is telling us right now.
9 months from now (September 2025), options traders are betting that Bitcoin will go past $300,000.
Bonkers!
Absolutely. Bonkers.
But what about the next month or so? Will we see a huge climb?
Probably not (at least that’s what the options market is telling us). 👇
Large numbers of puts = bearish take on the market
The exact price prediction? Bitcoin will fall below $75,000 before the end of February.
Yikes. My heart skipped a beat just typing that out.
But hey, let’s not forget about the $300K prediction by the end of September.
The message the market is sending us?
We’re moving up in the long-term but expect a bunch of pullbacks along the way (aka rule #1 of the crypto bull market).
Life insurance, huh? Boringggg.
We get it—but hear us out for a sec.
This one’s different: it lets you benefit while you’re still alive.
Here’s how: You can use the policy’s value to take out a tax-free loan.
Sounds confusing? Let’s break it down:
Pay $BTC into the policy today at $100K
In year 2035, $BTC is at $1M
Borrow against the policy and sell that $BTC for $1M cash.
The best part? No capital gains tax on the $900K appreciation.
Pretty neat, huh?
If you’re still confused, just click the link below 👇
WHICH ALTCOINS WILL GET ETFS IN 2025? 🤔
We saw some weird and wild milestones hit in 2024…
1/ The Bitcoin ETFs flipped Satoshi’s known $BTC holdings
2/ Terminal of Truth became the world’s first millionaire AI agent
3/ The memecoin sector reached a total market cap of over $110B
The crazy part of all of this? It’s likely only going to get wilder in 2025!
Bitwise is predicting that the Bitcoin ETFs will take in more net-inflows than they did in 2024.
AI agents like Terminal Of Truth can now be created by every day crypto users via virtuals.io, which means we’ll likely see a wave of multiple millionaire AI bots crop up.
…and memecoins? They thrive on retail attention, which looks to only increase over the next twelve months.
But there’s so much more to discuss beyond these three topics, which is why we invited Lark Davis onto The Milk Road Show to give his predictions for 2025.
In this episode, we cover:
Which altcoins will get ETFs in 2025?
The potential for multiple $10B+ memecoins
How high will the total crypto market cap reach?
It’s a banger! Don’t miss it. 👇
MILK ROAD PRO PORTFOLIO UPDATES đź“Š
Look! Up in the sky! It’s a bird! It’s a plane! It’s… the Milk Man sharing his latest portfolio changes.
Like clock-work, every Tuesday, we’re here to share our updated list of investments from the Milk Road PRO Portfolio.
Disclosure: We are not a day trading portfolio so don’t expect a high volume of trades. Read our “how to build a crypto portfolio in 2024” report to learn more about our portfolio strategy.
Portfolio performance 📉
The Milk Road PRO Portfolio saw a moderate decrease over the past 7 days. Our portfolio value is at $120K, down 5.2% since last week.
The last week of the year was mostly quiet, with the market leaning a bit bearish. Not much happened since most people were already on holiday.
Portfolio changes đź‘€
The Milk Road PRO Portfolio is available for Milk Road PRO members only.
GO PRO AND UNLOCK:
Full access to the Milk Road PRO Portfolio. 👆
NEW: Our yield strategies đź‘€
Our weekly reports that help you invest successfully in crypto. đź’°
Full access to our weekly bull market peak indicators. đź“Š
Full access to the Milk Road PRO community. đź«‚
50% OFF the Crypto Investing Masterclass 📚️
PRO REVIEW OF THE WEEK
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Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF is now the fastest-growing ETF in history. Despite the recent outflows, Blackrock’s had a killer year. And guess what? 2025 might be even bigger for the ETFs. Wild.
Tether adds to its Bitcoin holdings. They now hold around $8M of Bitcoin. The company with the highest revenue per employee is making moves.
MicroStrategy falls 46% from its peak. Why? People are becoming more and more cautious of their infinite money glitch scenario.
We’re hiring! Calling the brightest minds in crypto to join our team but hurry, there’s only 4 roles left.
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.