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GM. This is Milk Road, coming to you straight from our Thanksgiving kitchen—where we’re serving up the market’s ‘secret family recipes’.

And today we’re thankful for all of you! The 330,000 Roadies and 3,500 PRO members that make this all possible. Milk Road would be nothing without ya’ll.

We'd love to hear what you're thankful for today, so please reply to this email and let us know. 🦃 

Here’s what we got for you today:

• ✍️ 4 signals for a pullback

• ✍️ COTD: Stablecoins just hit all-time highs 📊

• 🥛 PRO “Where are we in the cycle?” indicators

• 🎙️ The Milk Road Show: 6 Reasons Investors Shouldn’t Ignore Base Right Now w/ Zeneca

• 🍪 We’re on the hunt for someone to Lead Partnerships at Milk Road – apply here!

4 SIGNALS THAT EVERY INVESTOR SHOULD TRACK 📉

Welcome to the Milk Man’s kitchen!

This Thanksgiving, we’re serving one of our favourite recipes: How To Tell If The Market Is About To Pullback.

Our ingredients list is made up of simple, publicly available ingredients that anyone can use to help track the market’s next dip.

Sound good? Perfect! Let’s dive right in:

1/ The Fear & Greed (F&G) Index

When the F&G Index is sitting in ‘Extreme Greed’ (80+) the likelihood of a pullback increases. 👇

2/ Funding rates

The higher Funding Rates climb above 0.05%, the greater the likelihood of a pullback. 👇

3/ RSI heatmap

The more time a token’s ticker spends in the ‘overbought’ section of the RSI heatmap, the more likely it is to see a pullback

(It indicates buyers are exhausted and are less likely to keep pouring money into the token to keep prices up). 👇

4/ Timeline euphoria

If your social timelines are littered with portfolio screenshots – it can indicate that investors are a little over confident. 

More euphoric public victory laps = a greater chance of a pullback. 👇

Now, here’s how to put it all together…

First, it’s worth noting that Fear & Greed, Funding Rates, Overbought RSI signals, and Timeline Euphoria can all stay elevated for weeks at a time in bull runs.

Which means it’s important to gauge how long they’ve been overheated (more time = the higher the likelihood we’re going to see a pullback).

Now, if all indicators are elevated and have been for a hot minute, this is essentially a hidden message to those investors that know how to read the data:

“Don’t buy (and if we’re nearing the peak of the crypto cycle – consider selling)”

And there you have it – everything you need to gauge overheated markets (and overheated turkeys) this bull run.

Enjoy!

COTD: STABLECOINS JUST HIT ALL-TIME HIGHS 📊

We know, we know.

When markets are pumping, reporting on stablecoins doesn’t feel all that sexy.

(It’s like saying “Nah, I didn’t catch the game last night – I was watching CSPAN”).

But right now, the collective market cap for stablecoins is sitting at all-time highs – and we need to talk about it. 👇

(‘Cause stablecoins play a big role in the long term adoption of blockchain technology).

They’re used for:

• Buying more crypto

• Earning yield on dollars

• Cheap international transfers

• Getting out of weak local currencies

Bundle all of this up and (sexy or not) you have blockchain technology’s widest reaching tool to date.

One with clear demand and the ability to generate insane revenue (Tether currently generates more profit per year than BlackRock – the $10T asset manager).

“Ok, cool. Still kinda boring.”
– You, probably.

Here’s why you should care:

The growth in stablecoins indicates a growth in crypto over time. 

The more value there is collectively sitting in stablecoins, the more of it can potentially find its way into your favorite token.

(Oh, nooow we have your attention…)

Now, go and show this off during your Thanksgiving dinner.

PRO “WHERE ARE WE IN THE CYCLE?” INDICATORS 🤔 

Crypto moves in cycles, and knowing where we are in the current cycle is crucial for capturing the best opportunities.

The goal is to spot the bull market peak before the inevitable bear market hits your bags hard.

Since timing the top perfectly is almost impossible, we use various indicators to give us a better shot at taking profits before it's too late.

Below are the 6 indicators we track, with a color-coded system to show how close they are to signalling the market peak:

🟢 Plenty of room to run 🏄

🟡 Getting closer to the top signal, but haven’t yet reached the mark ⚠️

🔴 We’ve hit the market top indicator 🚨

Every Thursday, we update these 6 indicators exclusively for PRO members.

Our advice? Don't wait for all of them to hit 🔴. It's better to take profits as they get closer to that point.

Let's dive in and see if we're anywhere near the top of this bull market. 👇

BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪

The Block is hosting its first-ever conference, Emergence, this December in Prague. Extravagant, eh? We love a new conference vibe, so here’s a treat: use code “Emergence20” to get 20% off your ticket!*

Bitwise files a 10 crypto index ETF. With a more crypto-friendly SEC on the way, get ready to all types of ETFs popping off.

Crypto hackers steal $71M in November. Sounds bad? Try $1.48B lost to hacks this year. Yikes. Stays stafe out there, folks.

We’re currently growing our team and are on the hunt for someone to lead partnerships at Milk Road. Think you’ve got what it takes? Click above to read the job description and apply.

Blockscout has just launched its Merits Program – an incentivized journey through the platform. With the Merits Program, Blockscout has added a whole new layer of interaction, making blockchain exploration fun and rewarding.*

*this is partner / sponsored content

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.